Well, here's some results. Recreating the YG (8/8/5/4) vs. XF (8/8/4/3) scenario mentioned earlier, your program spits this out:Originally Posted by IcyFox
YG wins: 13%
YG loses: 11%
Draw (implied): 76%
...which is what you posted earlier. But if YG's second stat gets bumped up to 9 (so he's 8/9/5/4), your program gives:
YG wins: 16%
YG loses: 13%
I can understand YG being more likely to win, but why is he also more likely to lose or draw? Trying other numbers, it seems to be a basic 'feature' of your equations that relatively high Win probabilities also mean relatively high Lose probabilities, which sounds strange to me. Perhaps you could explain.